| Ticker | Qty | Mkt Value | Avg Entry | P&L | Opened | Expiry |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fetching positions… | ||||||
| Strategy | 90d | 1yr | 5yr |
|---|
| Ticker | Side | Qty | Mkt Value | Avg Entry | Current Price | P&L $ | P&L % | Opened | Expiry |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loading… | |||||||||
| Name | Party | Weight | Max Mult | Committee | Buy Count | Activity |
|---|
| Component | Max Points / Boost | Detail |
|---|---|---|
| Base score | 40 pts | Any qualifying disclosure |
| Politician weight | 20 pts | Pelosi=20, others scaled |
| Committee bonus | 15 pts | Armed Services / Intelligence (flat) |
| Trade size | 20 pts | $1M+=20, $500K=16, $250K=12 |
| Committee multiplier NEW | 1.0× – 1.5× | Applied after raw score, before regime |
| Regime multiplier | — | BULL 1.2× · NEUTRAL 1.0× · CAUTION 0.75× · BEAR 0.5× |
| Min threshold | 55 | Below = skipped |
| Parameter | Value |
|---|---|
| Focus politician | Nancy Pelosi (weight 1.00) |
| Contract type | Call options (following buys) |
| OTM range | 10% – 20% out of the money |
| Budget | $1,500 total |
| Stop loss | –8% |
| Take profit | +25% |
| Min conviction score | 65 |
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Loading… | ||
| Regime | Multiplier | Effect |
|---|---|---|
| 🟢 BULL | 1.2× | Full size + boost |
| 🔵 NEUTRAL | 1.0× | Normal sizing |
| 🟡 CAUTION | 0.75× | Reduced — borderline trades skipped |
| 🔴 BEAR | 0.5× | Minimal — only highest conviction |
Form 4 filings are required when corporate insiders (executives, directors, 10%+ shareholders) trade their own stock. Each filing is parsed to distinguish open-market purchases (code P/A) from sales (code S/D). Only confirmed buys boost the conviction score. When insider buying aligns with a congressional disclosure on the same ticker, conviction rises significantly.
STOCK Act disclosures scraped directly from capitoltrades.com — 10 pages fetched in parallel, 817 raw records per cycle, filtered to 400+ whitelist signals. Own pipeline built May 2026 after the previous data provider ended its free tier. Both House and Senate covered. Refreshes every hour.
| Politician | Ticker | Signal | Chamber |
|---|---|---|---|
| G. Cisneros | AMD | 2× buys May 14–15, $1K–$15K (Armed Svc 1.5×) | House |
| G. Cisneros | APP | $1K–$15K May 15 (Armed Svc 1.5×) | House |
| G. Cisneros | ARQT | $1K–$15K May 29 (Armed Svc 1.5×) | House |
| R. Khanna | ACI | 4× buys May 5–26, $1K–$15K | House |
| R. Khanna | JPM | 3× buys May 18–27, $1K–$15K | House |
| R. Khanna | ALLY | 3× buys May 15–18, $1K–$15K | House |
Recent federal contract awards from the official U.S. spending database. Companies winning contracts while a congressional insider buys the stock suggest advance knowledge of policy outcomes — especially Armed Services and Appropriations committee members.
Companies ramping up lobbying spend before a congressional buy are higher conviction — they are actively seeking legislative influence, which suggests insiders expect a favourable policy outcome. Compares most recently completed quarter vs same quarter one year prior (YoY removes seasonal effects).
| Politician | Ticker | Entry Date | Score | Invested | Entry $ | 90d | 180d | 365d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loading… | ||||||||
python main.py --mode backtest
| Setting | Value |
|---|---|
| Starting capital | $1,000 |
| Weekly deposit | None (lump sum at reset) |
| Options budget | $1,500 |
| OTM range | 10% – 20% |
| Kelly fraction | 25% |
| Stop loss | –8% |
| Take profit | +25% |
| Min conviction score | 65 |
| Max open positions | 8 |
| Poll interval | 60 min |
| Committee multiplier | ACTIVE — 1.0× to 1.5× |
| Trading mode | PAPER |
| Alpaca account | CE Retail · PA3P4BA5ZVR6 |
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