Dashboard
Alpaca live · Quiver 1hr cache · Last updated: loading…
Portfolio Equity
$0,000.00
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Cash Available
$0,000.00
of equity
Open Positions
0
of 20 max
Total P&L
$0.00
vs $1,000 start
Open Positions
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| Ticker | Qty | Mkt Value | Avg Entry | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fetching positions… | ||||
Equity curve (paper) · $1,000 start
Macro Regime
FRED
⚠ CAUTION — multiplier 0.75×
VIX18.4
Yield curve (10Y-2Y)+0.21%
Fed funds rate4.25%
Unemployment4.1%
Consumer sentiment69.4
Active Options
Live · PA387694UR1H
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Politician Whitelist
Latest Disclosures
Quiver · 1hr cache
Budget Tracker
Starting capital$1,000
Account (Trading Bot2)loading…
P&L—
Week 0 of 52 (year 1 target)
| Strategy | 90d | 1yr | 5yr |
|---|
Positions
Live from Alpaca · Trading Bot2 · Auto-refreshes every 60s
Open Positions
—
of 20 max
Total Market Value
—
Total Unrealised P&L
—
Cash Available
—
All Open Positions
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| Ticker | Side | Qty | Mkt Value | Avg Entry | Current Price | P&L $ | P&L % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Equity Curve
$1,000 start
Trade Feed
Congressional disclosures · Quiver Quantitative · 1hr cache
Latest Disclosures
Scored by conviction model
Politicians
Whitelist · Sorted by conviction weight · Committee multipliers active
Tracked Politicians
9 active · Committee multiplier v1
| Name | Party | Weight | Max Mult | Committee | Buy Count | Activity |
|---|
Scoring Model
Session 11 — committee multiplier added
| Component | Max Points / Boost | Detail |
|---|---|---|
| Base score | 40 pts | Any qualifying disclosure |
| Politician weight | 20 pts | Pelosi=20, others scaled |
| Committee bonus | 15 pts | Armed Services / Intelligence (flat) |
| Trade size | 20 pts | $1M+=20, $500K=16, $250K=12 |
| Committee multiplier NEW | 1.0× – 1.5× | Applied after raw score, before regime |
| Regime multiplier | — | BULL 1.2× · NEUTRAL 1.0× · CAUTION 0.75× · BEAR 0.5× |
| Min threshold | 55 | Below = skipped |
Committee multiplier logic:
Armed Services / Intelligence members get 1.5× on defense/cyber trades ·
Finance / Banking gets 1.35× on financial stocks ·
Energy & Commerce gets 1.3× on tech/pharma ·
Foreign Relations / Judiciary gets 1.2× on relevant sectors.
No committee match = 1.0× (no change).
Options
Deep OTM 30–80% · $200 budget · Live from Trading Bot2
Options Budget
$200
deep OTM allocation
OTM Range
30% – 80%
out of the money
Active Options Positions
Live · PA387694UR1H
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Strategy
| Parameter | Value |
|---|---|
| Focus politician | Nancy Pelosi (weight 1.00) |
| Contract type | Call options (following buys) |
| OTM range | 30% – 80% out of the money |
| Budget | $200 total |
| Stop loss | –8% |
| Take profit | +25% |
| Min conviction score | 55 |
Macro Intel
FRED API · 7 indicators · 4 regimes
Current Regime
FRED · Live
🔵 NEUTRAL — Multiplier 1.0×
Normal sizing active. Regime shifted from CAUTION — trades now firing at full Kelly size.
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| VIX (Fear Index) | 18.4 | Elevated |
| Yield curve (10Y–2Y) | +0.21% | Normal |
| Fed funds rate | 4.25% | Restrictive |
| Unemployment rate | 4.1% | Healthy |
| Consumer sentiment | 69.4 | Soft |
| S&P 500 trend (50d MA) | Neutral | Watching |
| Credit spreads | Normal | OK |
Regime Guide
| Regime | Multiplier | Effect |
|---|---|---|
| 🟢 BULL | 1.2× | Full size + boost |
| 🔵 NEUTRAL | 1.0× | Normal sizing |
| 🟡 CAUTION | 0.75× | Reduced — borderline trades skipped |
| 🔴 BEAR | 0.5× | Minimal — only highest conviction |
Backtest
Backtest Results
Run python main.py --mode backtest locally to generate results. Live backtest viewer coming soon.
Settings
Bot Configuration
settings.py
| Setting | Value |
|---|---|
| Starting capital | $1,000 |
| Weekly deposit | $100 (auto Friday) |
| Options budget | $200 |
| OTM range | 30% – 80% |
| Kelly fraction | 25% |
| Stop loss | –8% |
| Take profit | +25% |
| Min conviction score | 55 |
| Max open positions | 20 |
| Poll interval | 60 min |
| Committee multiplier | ACTIVE — 1.0× to 1.5× |
| Trading mode | PAPER |
| Alpaca account | Trading Bot2 · PA387694UR1H |
Logs
Live Log Viewer
Log streaming coming soon. View logs locally at D:\Projects\politician-trader-bot\logs\